The Middle East Economy

Iraq and Kuwait appear to be laying the foundations to rekindle economic relations, with businesspeople and political leaders from both countries recently meeting to discuss opportunities for bilateral trade and investment.

Jordan has begun ramping up efforts to increase foreign investment into the kingdom and is looking farther afield than usual to do it. With the IMF revising down its economic growth projection for the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region from 4.6% in January to 4.1% on April 11, Jordan has held meetings with business leaders from the US, Russia, China and even Azerbaijan in the last month to encourage investment. The IMF also predicted that Jordan’s economic growth this year would be 3.3%, down from its October 2010 estimate of 4.2%.

The Kuwaiti government has approved a four-year economic development plan that, if successfully implemented, could boost public and private spending and lessen the economy’s dependence on oil.

With the government and international agencies alike predicting GDP to expand by almost 20% this year, and a budget surplus in the double-digit billions, Qatar’s economy is set to outstrip nearly all others around the world in 2011. Just about the only cloud on the horizon is the return of demand-driven inflation, though even this concern seems likely to dissipate in the face of sustained growth.

Trade and diplomacy took centre stage in 2010. In economic terms, it was a year in which Turkey was courted aggressively by both its Western partners and neighbours in the region. The country finished out 2010 with a number of trade agreements either inked or in the works, while the government made much headway in advocating Turkish business interests in its dealings with foreign partners. Meanwhile, Turkey’s main business centre, Istanbul, received a significant publicity boost thanks to its status as the European Capital of Culture for 2010.

Public spending is scheduled for a major boost in Saudi Arabia, with education, housing and social measures being specifically targeted by a new economic stimulus and support programme.