The Middle East Economy

The central bank (CB) took several measures in August in an effort to reverse the sharp decline of the lira against global benchmark currencies. Since November 2010, the lira has lost approximately one-quarter of its value, and slid 13.5% against the US dollar so far this year, as international investors have steadily removed their money from Turkish markets.

Strong financial indicators in Kuwait have seen the country rewarded by a ratings upgrade. On July 20 Standard & Poor’s (S&P) announced that it was raising Kuwait’s long-term sovereign credit rating from AA- to AA, with a stable outlook. According to the credit rating agency, the economy’s strengths include high GDP per capita and healthy fiscal and external balance sheets, factors that have been accorded greater weight under S&P’s recently revised methodology for rating sovereign credit risk.

The lifting of a rating agency’s temporary cloud over the Oman economy and a healthy forecast for GDP growth have combined to create an air of optimism in the Sultanate. On July 20 Standard & Poor’s removed Oman from CreditWatch, with the country’s long-term local and foreign currency rating at A, and the short-term rating at A-1.

Jordan’s government has undergone major overhaul with almost one third of all cabinet ministers reshuffled by Prime Minister Marouf Bakhit. Nonetheless, this does not appear to flag any major shift in economic policy.

After several years of substantial economic expansion, Qatar was recently named the wealthiest nation in the world in terms of GDP per capita. However, with many of the oil and gas related projects nearing fruition, focus is turning to manufacturing and other non-hydrocarbons businesses and the role they will play in the local economy.

Dubai’s economy is maintaining a steady pace of recovery, with confidence returning to the marketplace, investor appetite again being whetted and some of the longer-term development schemes starting to repay the faith and capital placed in them, though the need for care in managing the emirate’s debt burden remains key.