THE COMPANY: In 2011 the central bank’s macro-prudential policy measures utilised tools that directly and adversely affected Turkish banks. However, the tightening should lessen in 2012 as we foresee growth concerns surfacing and supportive macro data. Accompanied by improving global risk appetite and...
The top five Turkish lenders in account for nearly 60% of the assets in the banking sector. The state has ownership stakes in three of Turkey’s top 10 banks; and the second-largest bank, Ziraat, is 100% state-owned. While domestic players account for eight of the 10 biggest lenders in the country, four of these are at least partially owned by...
There was good news for Turkey in 2012 in the pages of the World Bank/International Finance Corporation’s “Doing Business 2012” report. In 2011 the country rose two places in the global rankings, to 71st out of 183 economies. This placed it ahead of the Eastern Europe and Central Asia average of 77th and well ahead of some regional competitors, such...
THE COMPANY: Domestic demand for white goods correlates with GDP. In times of economic expansion, white goods demand growth outpaces GDP growth, whereas the decline in sales exceeds the decline in GDP at times of economic contraction. From 2003-10 the average multiplier of domestic white goods demand...
One major success story in recent years has been the rapid rise in bilateral trade between Turkey and the countries of the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC). Indeed, Turkey enjoys trade surpluses with all the GCC states except Saudi Arabia and Qatar, with energy imports accounting for the deficits there. With the UAE, Kuwait, Bahrain and Oman, Turkish...
The downside to the growth in retail lending in Turkey in 2010 and 2011 was a rapid increase in the current account deficit as consumers took advantage of greater access to credit to purchase imported products that were previously out of reach financially. At the same time, the lira, buoyed by strong capital inflows, strengthened, making imports...
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